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MINT Modeling Status

South Sudan

Backcasting

Regions: Focus on Pongo region (other regions by first approximation based on Pongo)

Time period supported: any period between 2000-2017

Agriculture modeling for potential crop production (Cycles model):

  • Model is manually tuned for agriculture areas within Pongo region
  • For other regions in South Sudan, the model can be tuned by hand and used

Economic modeling for crop production (EACS model):

  • Model is calibrated for areas within the Pongo region
  • For other regions of South Sudan, the Pongo calibration of the model could be used as a first approximation

Hydrology modeling for flooding (PIHM model):

  • Only available as an emulator, for Pongo region only

Forecasting

Regions: Focus on Pongo region (other regions by first approximation based on Pongo)

Time period supported: 2018 (weather forecasting available for different percentiles). Forecasting is based on historical precipitation within Pongo Basin. A primer on forecasting in MINT is available here.

Agriculture modeling for crop yield (Cycles model):

  • Model is manually tuned for agriculture areas within Pongo region
  • For other regions in South Sudan, the model can be tuned by hand and used

Economic modeling for crop production (EACS model):

  • Model is calibrated for areas within the Pongo region
  • For other regions of South Sudan, the Pongo calibration of the model could be used as a first approximation

Hydrology modeling: Not available for forecasting.

Ethiopia

Backcasting

Regions: Focus on Gambella region and Baro river (other regions by first approximation)

Time period supported: any period between 2000-2017

Agriculture modeling for crop yield (Cycles model):

  • Model is tuned for agriculture areas within the Gambella region
  • For other regions in Ethiopia, the model can be calibrated by hand and used

Economic modeling for crop production (EACS model):

  • Model is calibrated for areas within the Gambella region
  • For other regions of Ethiopia, the Gambella calibration of the model could be used as a first approximation

Hydrology modeling for river discharge/flooding (PIHM model):

  • Model is available for Baro region only

Forecasting

Regions: Focus on Gambella region and Baro river (other regions by first approximation)

Time period supported: Time period supported: 2018 (weather forecasting available for different percentiles). Forecasting is based on historical precipitation within Baro Basin. A primer on forecasting in MINT is available here.

Agriculture modeling for crop yield (Cycles model):

  • Model is manually tuned for agriculture areas within the Gambella region
  • For other regions in Ethiopia, the model can be calibrated by hand and used

Economic modeling for crop production (EACS model):

  • Model is calibrated for areas within the Gambella region
  • For other regions of Ethiopia, the Gambella calibration of the model could be used as a first approximation

Hydrology modeling for river discharge/flooding (TopoFlow model):

  • Model is available for Baro region only